Werner plays with great leverage.

The Chiefs (2-13) are all but assured of the first pick in the draft, the Jaguars (2-13) the second.

But the Raiders (4-11) have a decent chance of defeating the Chargers (6-9), who are in for a culture change.

That opens the door for the Eagles (4-11) to collect the third overall spot ... and at least a little more leverage than being fourth.

Statistically the Raiders have a 74 percent chance of selecting third in the draft, the Eagles a 64 percent shot of choosing fourth.

With the third pick the Eagles likely would have a chance of drafting quarterback Geno Smith of West Virginia or defensive end Bjoern Werner of Florida State, two of the best football players and hottest prospects in the draft.

Smith has the skills set to be special. Werner is another J.J. Watt. 

A Raiders win and an Eagles loss to the Giants - and judging by the current attention to detail and impending change in culture there's a decent chance of that happening - and the Eagles are third.

The Giants (8-7) have a 91 percent chance of not making the playoffs.

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