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Statistically QB Nick Foles has 9 percent chance to succeed
Look at video of Nick Foles when the Arizona Wildcats had a senior offensive line (below) and you wonder why he dropped to the third round.
Foles doesn't play nearly as slow as the guy who ran the 5.1 40-yard dash at the scouting combine.
All of that said I'm reminded of telling research supplied NFL Network draft analyst Mike Mayock.
In the last eight drafts, 23 quarterbacks have been selected in the first round. Fifteen are
starters.
In the last eight drafts, 82 quarterbacks were drafted in
rounds 2 through 7. Only seven have become starters.
Statistically there's less than a 9 percent chance Foles is the Eagles' future starting quarterback.
A reader offered another way of looking at it (on EaglesAddict.com).
A reader offered another way of looking at it (on EaglesAddict.com).
Follow @BobGrotz on Twitter.
Labels: .Eagles, Mike Mayock, Nick Foles, quarterbacks
posted by EaglesBloggerRoom at
7:44 PM
2 Comments:
Hey Bob, I came to that same percentage a few weeks ago when looking at QBs selected in the 2nd and 3rd rounds from 1996 - 2010. You looked at it a different way and came up with the same result...just further proof that the odds of Foles actually becoming a solid starter are slim, at best. Hopefully Reid can work his magic.
Anyway...here is what I found and how I found it if you're interested...
http://eaglesaddict.com/http:/www.eaglesaddict.com/2012-04-17/philadelphia-eagles-2012-draft-2nd-and-3rd-round-qbs-have-a-low-success-rate/
Great stuff Dave.
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